| Symbol | Sector | Return | Exposure | Trades | Last Trade | Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V | Consumer Finance | -38.93% |
|
0 | 12-Nov-08 | Currently Holding |
31-May-08
Visa: A New Investor's Lesson from Success
Holding Rationale for V.
On 3/19/08 I first bought 45 shares of Visa (V) with a market order the day after its IPO at 58.45 per share. I'd been watching the build up to the IPO and decided with confidence it would be a good buy for the following reasons: 1) V is the largest in its field with only MasterCard (MA)as a distant second; 2) Since MA's IPO the price of its stock has virtually only gone up; 3) V doesn't loan money so it's not vulnerable to the current credit crises; 4) V's profits should go up as people rely more on credit during economic downturns. The one question in my mind is how fast would V go up?
On 5/8/08 this question was answered as my V shares had increased in value by 51%. Given this rapid growth and given that the above reasons still held true I added to my holdings another 70 shares with a market order at 89.37 each. This is where I paid for my most recent lesson in investing. I shouldn't have used a market order.
New to the wonders of seeing my money grow so rapidly I was feeling excited when I placed the order. I thought the little I might save by using a limit order may cost me if the price kept climbing. As it turned out I chased the stock and paid a premium. One I didn't need to pay as V began a general 15 day decline.
Fortunately my mistake may have only a short term affect as V is again approaching the amount I last paid. A small problem is that I now know I paid V's highest value which is the "resistance" point. I expect V will bump around 89.37 for a time, but will reach a new high soon.
The lesson I've learned is to allow my analysis and strategy to motivate moves rather than the thrill that comes with success. That's not to say I won't use market orders again. But before I do I want to see how it fits into my strategy for that stock and not just jump on for the thrill ride. Granted I didn't pay very much for this lesson, so I look at it as a bargain. I want to enjoy the thrills of success, but invest with a strategy that respects the dangers of market.
I think V continues to be a good long term investment. I expect it to track along with MA to continuing new highs. Over the next two years, even if it does half as well MA, it will still have a return over 300%.
Mark Gilley
Tagged Stocks: V
Posted at 23:45 in Holding Rationales | Permalink | Comments () | Top
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