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29-Jun-09

More Fear Means Improved Outlook

The weakness last Monday shook a lot of people up.  Odd lot investors actually shifted to the sell side for a couple of days last week, a very unusual occurence in any kind of market.  This chart shows the put/call ratio which has also increased recently and has turned neutral from previous bearish readings.  Other indicators improved as well.

I don't want to overstate a bullish case when, in fact, I only have one indicator that is modestly bullish and two that are still bearish.  Given my neutral long-term market stance, my optimal cash position is still around 50 - 60%.  Still, that is still a little lower than my current 67% cash.  I will be looking to reduce that cash if I can find appropriate stocks to buy this week.

 

Posted at 12:21 in Market Report  |   Permalink   |  Top

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